Thursday, May 01, 2008

Hillary Takes Lead in North Carolina (!)


North Carolina is the state that wasn't supposed to be close. Obama was supposed to own it -- or so they said! Now the North Carolina Democratic primary has become an increasingly close race, and the Insider Advantage poll has Hillary actually winning North Carolina!

Southern Political Report:

A survey of 571 registered likely voters in North Carolina’s May 6 Democratic primary shows Sen. Hillary Clinton having moved from a double digit deficit in an InsiderAdvantage poll taken in mid-April to a two point lead over Sen. Barack Obama in this telephone survey, conducted April 29. The survey was weighted for age, race, gender, and political affiliation. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8%

The results were: Hillary Clinton: 44%; Barack Obama: 42%; Undecided: 14%

The IA pollster said white voters have a problem with Wright's recent statement that he'll be back with Obama once Obama's in the White House.

If this white vote shift does not erode, given that North Carolina’s white Democratic voters are primarily in the Research Triangle, where education and personal finances are in the top tier for the nation, then I would say this suggests a major shift in all future primaries towards Clinton,” said Towery. Click here for crosstabs. Click here for party breakdown.

Poll: Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama in tight race for N.C. votes

In Indiana, the latest polls have Hillary beating Obama by 9 points (Survey USA) and by 8 points (PPP).

NY Times: Loss and Furor Take Toll on Obama, Poll Finds

The latest CBS/New York Times poll shows Hillary beating McCain: Clinton (D) 48%, McCain (R) 43%; Obama (D) 45%, McCain (R) 45%

NBC News/Wall Street Journal: Bush is Liability for McCain