Senate Could Go Either Way
It appears that this election is going to be another crazy one. Polls are flip-flopping all over the place. Time and Newsweek contradict Pew, Gallup, and ABC. Face it people: we are a schizophrenic nation and have been one ever since 2000!
While recent polls show the Democrat lead shrinking, the Dems are still leading. But the huge Democratic lead is apparently not huge anymore. Pew Research puts the Democratic lead at 47%-43% among likely voters.
Craig Crawford asks the question that is on all our minds: "Could the Democratic hurricane be losing strength as it approaches landfall?"
I like what Chris Bowers has to say: "We are not going to be ahead by more than Republicans were in 1994, and then fail to take control. That. Just. Isn't. Going. To. Happen. The will of the people is on our side, and it will not be thwarted. Not this time."
Crawford notes that the effect of the news about the sentencing of Saddam Hussein should be worrying Republicans, not Democrats, because every mention of Iraq reminds voters of the mess Bush has created and thus backfires in favor of the Dems.
Anyway, the only poll that matters is the one on Tuesday. Don't just vote, drag a lefty to the polls!
Here's an excerpt from USA Today on the senate poll that puts Ford and Corker in a statistical tie and seriously contradicts other polls:
Polls: Dems' lead shrinking, but still strong
Democratic challengers are leading Republican incumbents — in some cases narrowly — in Missouri, Montana and Rhode Island, according to the USA TODAY surveys. Other polls show Democratic challengers ahead in Ohio and Pennsylvania.
Even if Democrats sweep those five races, however, they would fall one seat short of the six needed for majority status. Two GOP targets, in Tennessee and Virginia, now lead by 3 percentage points among likely voters.
..[T]he Senate is still very much in play and could go either way," says Stuart Rothenberg, editor of the non-partisan Rothenberg Political Report.
In a separate nationwide USA TODAY/Gallup Poll, taken Thursday through Sunday, Democrats were favored over Republicans for Congress by 51%-44% among likely voters. That edge of 7 percentage points had narrowed from a 13-point margin two weeks ago.
Republican Sen. George Allen leads Jim Webb in Virginia and Republican Bob Corker leads Harold Ford in Tennessee by identical 49%-46% margins.
By big margins, voters across the board say most of the TV ads they've seen have been negative. In Tennessee, an overwhelming 74% disapproved of a GOP ad that showed a sexy blonde saying, "Harold, call me."
Harold Ford Democrats Bush Politics News Election 2006 Republicans One Party Rule Bob Corker Polls Senate
