Sunday, November 05, 2006

New USA Today Poll: Ford & Corker in Deadheat


Never mind that Rasmussen Reports is right in line with other recent polls by showing Corker (R) at 53% and Ford (D) at 45%. The forthcoming USA Today poll shows a deadheat, and GOP internal polls are so problematic that Corker is reportedly no longer releasing them. Everything hinges on who shows up at the polls.

TPM Cafe has more details on the forthcoming poll numbers from USA Today, which I mentioned in this post, which also notes that the early vote numbers from the liberal side of Tennessee are up by 80 percent! "The combined total of Hamilton, Knox, Sullivan, and Washington counties, all expected to vote Republican, barely surpasses the 142,235 number put up by Democratic Shelby County alone."

This ties in nicely with the Time poll which finds that the GOP "faces a stark drop-off in support from evangelicals and men." Gawd knows we have plenty of those in Tennessee, but we have liberals too, make that motivated liberals!

But I digress. Here's what Greg Sargent over at TPM has about the forthcoming USA Today Poll.

TPM Cafe:

The campaign of Dem Harold Ford, Jr., is claiming that a U.S.A. Today poll will soon show that the race with GOP candidate Bob Corker is approaching a dead-heat race, with Ford trailing by a statistically insignificant three points. The U.S.A. Today numbers aren't yet online but were sent out in a press release by the Ford campaign. The U.S.A. Today poll will show Corker up 49%-46%, the Ford camp says, adding that the poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 points.